Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Portland Hearts of Pine take on Spokane Velocity on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th with 34 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Spokane Velocity sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Greenville Triumph 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spokane Velocity's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Sarasota Paradise 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spokane Velocity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.2 for Spokane Velocity. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Hearts of Pine 39%, draw 24%, Spokane Velocity 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Spokane Velocity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Hearts of Pine39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Spokane Velocity38%fair 2.67 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.26Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.24Spokane Velocity xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.3 – 1.2 Spokane Velocity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Hearts of Pine to win✓
39%
2.58
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Hearts of Pine / FT Portland Hearts of Pine✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.63
–
Form
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
DDLDDL
23 May
vs Greenville Triumph
1–1
D
10 May
@ Union Omaha
2–2
D
7 May
@ Fort Wayne
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Westchester SC
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs One Knoxville
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Sarasota Paradise
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spokane Velocity – last 6
WWDLWW
25 May
vs Sarasota Paradise
1–0
W
18 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–0
W
3 May
@ Corpus Christi
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Alta
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Spokane Velocity.
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spokane Velocity 38%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Spokane Velocity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
