One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
One Knoxville or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph travel to Regal Stadium in the USL League One on Friday 29 May (23:30 WAT) to face One Knoxville. One Knoxville are 6th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Greenville Triumph sit 15th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
One Knoxville's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Corpus Christi 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Greenville Triumph's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
One Knoxville arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for One Knoxville and 0.7 for Greenville Triumph. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: One Knoxville 64%, draw 23%, Greenville Triumph 13%.
Safer route: One Knoxville or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: One Knoxville to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was One Knoxville or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: One Knoxville 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
One Knoxville64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Greenville Triumph13%fair 7.47 · @3.55
2.62Expected goals
1.89One Knoxville xG
0.74Greenville Triumph xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.9 – 0.7 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
One Knoxville or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
One Knoxville ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
One Knoxville – last 6
DLLWLW
24 May
@ Corpus Christi
2–2
D
17 May
vs San Antonio
0–1
L
14 May
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
3 May
@ Naples
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
DLLLLW
23 May
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–1
D
10 May
vs Richmond Kickers
0–3
L
3 May
@ Union Omaha
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Naples
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs Westchester SC
4–2
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is One Knoxville or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Greenville Triumph 13%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
