Double chanceSpokane Velocity or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.06
Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
Spokane Velocity host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at One Spokane Stadium. Spokane Velocity are 5th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sarasota Paradise sit 11th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spokane Velocity's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Alta 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Spokane Velocity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Spokane Velocity and 0.8 for Sarasota Paradise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Spokane Velocity or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Spokane Velocity 2–0 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spokane Velocity61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.55
Sarasota Paradise14%fair 6.96 · @4.20
2.73Expected goals
1.90Spokane Velocity xG
0.83Sarasota Paradise xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.9 – 0.8 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Spokane Velocity or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Spokane Velocity ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.06
–
Form
Spokane Velocity – last 6
WDLWWD
18 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–0
W
3 May
@ Corpus Christi
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Alta
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Boise
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LLLLWL
17 May
vs Alta
1–2
L
14 May
vs Sporting JAX
0–2
L
3 May
vs Forward Madison
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Corpus Christi
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Naples
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and Sarasota Paradise.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarasota Paradise 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 2–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
