Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Sarasota Paradise take on Corpus Christi on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Premier Sports Campus. Sarasota Paradise are 11th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Corpus Christi sit 12th on 37 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Naples 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Corpus Christi's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Westchester SC 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.2 for Corpus Christi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarasota Paradise 45%, draw 21%, Corpus Christi 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Corpus Christi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarasota Paradise45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Corpus Christi34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.46Sarasota Paradise xG
1.21Corpus Christi xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.5 – 1.2 Corpus Christi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarasota Paradise to win✓
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.20
–
Form
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LLLWDL
12 Apr
@ Naples
0–2
L
9 Apr
@ Westchester SC
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs One Knoxville
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Boise
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Corpus Christi – last 3
LDD
5 Apr
@ Westchester SC
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ One Knoxville
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Naples
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Corpus Christi.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Corpus Christi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Corpus Christi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi (USL League One) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
