Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.13
One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees One Knoxville take on Richmond Kickers on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Regal Stadium. One Knoxville are 6th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Richmond Kickers sit 17th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
One Knoxville's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Corpus Christi 0–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Richmond Kickers's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Naples 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for One Knoxville and 0.6 for Richmond Kickers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: One Knoxville 65%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: One Knoxville to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: One Knoxville 1–0 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
One Knoxville65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Richmond Kickers11%fair 8.92 · @4.60
2.39Expected goals
1.78One Knoxville xG
0.61Richmond Kickers xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.8 – 0.6 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
One Knoxville or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
One Knoxville ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.13
–
Form
One Knoxville – last 4
DWLW
25 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Vistula
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Forward Madison
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Westchester SC
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Richmond Kickers – last 3
LWD
21 Mar
vs Naples
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Evergreen
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Alta
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Richmond Kickers.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Richmond Kickers 11%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
