Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Birmingham Legion to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion travel to Hodges Stadium in the USL Championship on Thursday 15 October (00:00 WAT) to face Sporting JAX. Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting JAX's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Miami FC 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Birmingham Legion's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Detroit City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Birmingham Legion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Birmingham Legion 2–3 Sporting JAX.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Sporting JAX and 2.2 for Birmingham Legion. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Birmingham Legion to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting JAX 1–2 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting JAX24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @3.50
Birmingham Legion61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
3.47Expected goals
1.27Sporting JAX xG
2.20Birmingham Legion xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.3 – 2.2 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Birmingham Legion to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Birmingham Legion 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
