Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Sacramento Republic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Sacramento Republic take on San Antonio on Monday 21 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Heart Health Park. Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while San Antonio sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Detroit City 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Antonio's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Colorado Springs 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished San Antonio 2–1 Sacramento Republic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Sacramento Republic and 0.6 for San Antonio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sacramento Republic 61%, draw 26%, San Antonio 13%.
Safer route: Sacramento Republic or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Sacramento Republic to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sacramento Republic or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 1–0 San Antonio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sacramento Republic61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
San Antonio13%fair 7.41 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.64Sacramento Republic xG
0.64San Antonio xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.6 – 0.6 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Our pick is Sacramento Republic or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Antonio 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
