New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees New Mexico United take on Indy Eleven on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New Mexico United's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Indy Eleven's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Birmingham Legion 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
New Mexico United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for New Mexico United and 1.1 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Mexico United 48%, draw 19%, Indy Eleven 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Mexico United48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Indy Eleven33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.40New Mexico United xG
1.08Indy Eleven xG
60%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.1 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Mexico United to win✗
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
New Mexico United – last 6
WLWDWW
6 Sep
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Lexington
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs FC Tulsa
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Monterey Bay
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
DLWWDL
6 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Indy Eleven 33%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.