Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Pittsburgh Riverhounds take on Tampa Bay Rowdies on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Highmark Stadium. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Detroit City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.4 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.47Expected goals
1.12Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.35Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 – 1.4 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.