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USL Championship · USA · Highmark Stadium

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees Pittsburgh Riverhounds take on Tampa Bay Rowdies on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Highmark Stadium. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Detroit City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.4 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pittsburgh Riverhounds33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.47Expected goals
1.12Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.35Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 – 1.4 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗44%2.252.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Form

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6

LWWDWL
27 Aug@ El Paso Locomotive1–2L
23 Aug@ Brooklyn1–0W
16 Augvs Charleston Battery3–1W
9 Augvs Sacramento Republic0–0D
2 Aug@ Oakland Roots1–0W
30 Julvs FC Tulsa0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

LWDWWW
23 Aug@ Detroit City0–1L
16 Augvs Rhode Island2–0W
13 Augvs Louisville City0–0D
9 Aug@ Orange County SC3–0W
2 Augvs Louisville City5–4W
26 Jul@ Miami FC3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies v Pittsburgh Riverhounds3–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.

How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.