Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
El Paso Locomotive host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Colorado Springs 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Brooklyn 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.29El Paso Locomotive xG
1.15Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.3 – 1.2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWLW
23 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Sporting JAX
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWDWLL
23 Aug
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleston Battery
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Rhode Island
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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