Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island preview and prediction
The match
Rhode Island travel to Protective Stadium in the USL Championship on Monday 3 August (00:00 WAT) to face Birmingham Legion. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Louisville City 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rhode Island's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rhode Island arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Rhode Island 1–3 Birmingham Legion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Birmingham Legion and 1.6 for Rhode Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham Legion 29%, draw 21%, Rhode Island 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion29%fair 3.49 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.35
Rhode Island50%fair 1.98 · @2.05
2.68Expected goals
1.10Birmingham Legion xG
1.58Rhode Island xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.1 – 1.6 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rhode Island 50%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
