Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host New Mexico United in the USL Championship on Thursday 17 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while New Mexico United sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Charleston Battery 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
New Mexico United's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Indy Eleven 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
New Mexico United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Birmingham Legion and 1.3 for New Mexico United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham Legion 40%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
New Mexico United36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
2.68Expected goals
1.38Birmingham Legion xG
1.30New Mexico United xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.4 – 1.3 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
40%
2.50
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Birmingham Legion – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Sep
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Indy Eleven
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Hartford Athletic
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 6
DWLWDW
12 Sep
vs Indy Eleven
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Lexington
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs FC Tulsa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New Mexico United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
