Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLexington to win ✓57% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Lexington vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction
The match
Oakland Roots travel to Toyota Stadium in the USL Championship on Thursday 23 July (00:00 WAT) to face Lexington. Lexington are 4th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lexington's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to New Mexico United 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Oakland Roots's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Spokane Velocity 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.9 for Lexington and 1.1 for Oakland Roots. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lexington 1–1 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington57%fair 1.77 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Oakland Roots22%fair 4.54 · @3.85
3.05Expected goals
1.94Lexington xG
1.12Oakland Roots xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.9 – 1.1 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Lexington
Oakland Roots
Attack vs USL Championship average
+45%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-6%
Our expected goals here
2.04
1.17
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✓
57%
1.77
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Half-time result
Lexington ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Lexington – last 6
LLWDWW
16 Jul
vs New Mexico United
1–4
L
12 Jul
@ Louisville City
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–1
W
21 Jun
vs Indy Eleven
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs San Antonio
2–0
W
31 May
@ El Paso Locomotive
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oakland Roots – last 6
LLWDDW
11 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
1–3
L
5 Jul
@ New Mexico United
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Phoenix Rising
4–3
W
17 Jun
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Oakland Roots.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers Lexington have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oakland Roots 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Lexington vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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