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USL Championship · USA · Highmark Stadium

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLouisville City to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.73

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees Pittsburgh Riverhounds take on Louisville City on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Highmark Stadium. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Louisville City sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Sporting JAX 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Louisville City's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Lexington 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Louisville City 0–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.5 for Louisville City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Louisville City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pittsburgh Riverhounds32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Louisville City46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
2.67Expected goals
1.19Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.48Louisville City xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.2 – 1.5 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✗46%2.182.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.73–

Form

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6

LWLDWW
16 Jul@ Sporting JAX1–2L
12 Julvs Loudoun United2–0W
5 Julvs Brooklyn0–2L
21 Jun@ Hartford Athletic0–0D
14 Junvs Indy Eleven1–0W
31 Mayvs Miami FC2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Louisville City – last 6

WWDDWD
12 Julvs Lexington4–2W
5 Julvs Hartford Athletic1–0W
20 Jun@ Detroit City0–0D
14 Junvs Brooklyn2–2D
11 Jun@ Phoenix Rising2–0W
4 Jun@ Birmingham Legion1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Louisville City v Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Louisville City 46%.

How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.