Value bet: Detroit City to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Detroit City in the USL Championship on Friday 3 July, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Detroit City sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Loudoun United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Detroit City's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Louisville City 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Detroit City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Birmingham Legion and 1.3 for Detroit City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham Legion 39%, draw 23%, Detroit City 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Detroit City to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Detroit City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Detroit City38%fair 2.60 · @3.00
2.53Expected goals
1.27Birmingham Legion xG
1.26Detroit City xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.3 – 1.3 Detroit City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.89
–
Form
Birmingham Legion – last 6
DDLWDL
21 Jun
vs Loudoun United
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
10 Jun
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
4 Jun
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
24 May
@ Monterey Bay
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Detroit City – last 6
DWDLWW
20 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
6–2
W
11 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–1
D
30 May
@ Charleston Battery
0–2
L
21 May
vs Miami FC
2–1
W
16 May
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Detroit City.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Detroit City 38%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Detroit City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City (USL Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
