New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
New Mexico United host El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on Thursday 7 May, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
New Mexico United's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Alta 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished New Mexico United 0–4 El Paso Locomotive.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for New Mexico United and 1.3 for El Paso Locomotive. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Mexico United 39%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Mexico United39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.45
El Paso Locomotive36%fair 2.80 · @2.60
3.00Expected goals
1.69New Mexico United xG
1.31El Paso Locomotive xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.7 – 1.3 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
+23%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.06
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Paso Locomotive 36%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
