El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa preview and prediction
The match
FC Tulsa travel to Southwest University Park in the USL Championship on Thursday 30 April (02:00 WAT) to face El Paso Locomotive. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while FC Tulsa sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Orange County SC 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
FC Tulsa's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Oakland Roots 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.3 for FC Tulsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 47%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 FC Tulsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
FC Tulsa32%fair 3.11 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.61El Paso Locomotive xG
1.28FC Tulsa xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.6 – 1.3 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Apr
@ Orange County SC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs San Antonio
2–3
L
16 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Tulsa – last 6
DLLDDW
19 Apr
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ St. Louis City
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Orange County SC
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tulsa 32%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
