Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Oakland Roots or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Oakland Roots to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOakland Roots to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceOakland Roots or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Oakland Roots take on Las Vegas Lights on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Laney College Football Stadium. Oakland Roots are 10th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oakland Roots's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with FC Tulsa 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Sacramento Republic 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Oakland Roots arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Oakland Roots and 0.9 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Oakland Roots to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oakland Roots or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oakland Roots 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oakland Roots61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.35
Las Vegas Lights14%fair 6.92 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.94Oakland Roots xG
0.86Las Vegas Lights xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oakland Roots 1.9 – 0.9 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oakland Roots to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Oakland Roots or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Oakland Roots ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oakland Roots / FT Oakland Roots✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Oakland Roots – last 6
DDLDWW
19 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Orange County SC
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Phoenix Rising
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs New Mexico United
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 5
DLWLD
12 Apr
vs Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ El Paso Locomotive
2–3
L
29 Mar
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oakland Roots and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Oakland Roots or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Las Vegas Lights 14%.
How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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