Loudoun United vs Louisville City prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Louisville City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLouisville City to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Loudoun United vs Louisville City preview and prediction
The match
Louisville City travel to Segra Field in the USL Championship on Friday 10 April (23:30 WAT) to face Loudoun United. Loudoun United are 10th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Louisville City sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Loudoun United's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Richmond Kickers 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Louisville City's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Lexington 2–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Louisville City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Loudoun United and 2.3 for Louisville City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Loudoun United 16%, draw 19%, Louisville City 65%.
Safer route: Louisville City or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Louisville City to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Loudoun United 1–2 Louisville City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Loudoun United16%fair 6.33 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Louisville City65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
3.33Expected goals
1.05Loudoun United xG
2.28Louisville City xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Loudoun United 1.0 – 2.3 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Louisville City ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Loudoun United – last 4
LLWL
1 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ West Chester United
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 5
WWWWW
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Southern Indiana
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Lexington
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ FC Cincinnati
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loudoun United and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Loudoun United have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Louisville City 65%.
How many goals will there be in Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Loudoun United 1–2 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Loudoun United vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Segra Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
