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USL Championship · USA · Toyota Stadium
3–0
FT

Lexington vs Brooklyn prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLexington to win ✓63% · @1.60
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.51

Lexington vs Brooklyn preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees Lexington take on Brooklyn on Thursday 26 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Lexington are 4th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Brooklyn sit 12th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Lexington's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Flower City Union 9–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Lexington and 0.7 for Brooklyn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Lexington 1–0 Brooklyn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lexington63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.75
Brooklyn18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
2.39Expected goals
1.67Lexington xG
0.71Brooklyn xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Lexington 1.7 – 0.7 Brooklyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLexington to win ✓63%1.591.60
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓82%1.231.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lexington / FT Lexington ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.51–

Form

Lexington – last 3

WDL
20 Marvs Flower City Union9–0W
15 Marvs Sacramento Republic0–0D
7 Marvs Louisville City1–2L
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Brooklyn – last 1

L
22 Marvs Hartford Athletic1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Brooklyn.

Lexington vs Brooklyn head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Brooklyn?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Lexington vs Brooklyn?

On our numbers Lexington have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brooklyn 18%.

How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Brooklyn?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Brooklyn?

Our predicted score is Lexington 1–0 Brooklyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lexington vs Brooklyn?

Lexington vs Brooklyn (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.