Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Birmingham Legion and 1.3 for Hartford Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion34%fair 2.97 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
Hartford Athletic45%fair 2.20 · @2.50
2.39Expected goals
1.07Birmingham Legion xG
1.31Hartford Athletic xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.1 – 1.3 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
45%
2.20
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Birmingham Legion – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 1
W
8 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hartford Athletic 45%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
