América W host Atlas W in the Liga MX Femenil on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. América W are 1st with 37 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Atlas W sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
América W's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Tigres UANL W 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlas W's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Necaxa W 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.2 conceded.
América W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.1 for América W and 1.1 for Atlas W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: América W 77%, draw 14%, Atlas W 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 2.40, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: América W 3–1 Atlas W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
América W77%fair 1.29 · @1.06
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @11.50
Atlas W8%fair 12.05 · @24.00
4.19Expected goals
3.14América W xG
1.05Atlas W xG
58%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: América W 3.1 – 1.1 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
77%
1.29
1.06
Double chance
América W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.12
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.35
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Form
América W – last 5
WWWLD
26 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atlas W – last 6
WLLWLL
28 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–2
W
24 Mar
@ León W
0–4
L
17 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
4–6
L
17 Feb
@ Guadalajara W
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Atlas W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.
Who will win América W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers América W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Atlas W 8%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is América W 3–1 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is América W vs Atlas W?
América W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
