Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.20 – our chance 50% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +61%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmérica W to win83% · @1.03
Double chanceAmérica W or draw93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @3.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–39% · fair 10.62
Puebla W vs América W preview and prediction
The match
Puebla W host América W in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Puebla W are 17th with 4 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while América W sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Puebla W's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Juárez W 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
América W's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Toluca W 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
América W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 0.9 for Puebla W and 3.2 for América W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puebla W 7%, draw 10%, América W 83%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 3.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 3.20 – 50% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Puebla W 1–3 América W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla W7%fair 13.94 · @101.00
Draw10%fair 9.96 · @11.00
América W83%fair 1.21 · @1.03
4.05Expected goals
0.86Puebla W xG
3.19América W xG
50%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: Puebla W 0.9 – 3.2 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win
83%
1.21
1.03
Double chance
América W or draw
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
3.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.35
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W
60%
1.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
9%
10.62
–
Form
Puebla W – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
América W – last 4
WWLD
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla W and América W.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Puebla W vs América W?
On our numbers Puebla W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 10% and América W 83%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla W vs América W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Puebla W 1–3 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Puebla W vs América W?
Puebla W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
