América W host León W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. América W are 1st with 37 points from 14 games (top of the table), while León W sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.8 for América W and 1.0 for León W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: América W 73%, draw 16%, León W 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: América W 2–1 León W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
América W73%fair 1.37 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @8.00
León W11%fair 9.32 · @17.00
3.77Expected goals
2.75América W xG
1.02León W xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: América W 2.8 – 1.0 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
73%
1.37
1.10
Double chance
América W or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
América W – last 2
LD
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
León W – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and León W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win América W vs León W?
On our numbers América W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and León W 11%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs León W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs León W?
Our predicted score is América W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is América W vs León W?
América W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
