Value bet: Guadalajara W to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuárez W to win ✗41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.42
Juárez W vs Guadalajara W preview and prediction
The match
Juárez W host Guadalajara W in the Liga MX Femenil on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 02:06 (WAT). Juárez W are 5th with 30 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Guadalajara W sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juárez W's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Monterrey W 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guadalajara W's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Tigres UANL W 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Juárez W and 1.2 for Guadalajara W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juárez W 41%, draw 24%, Guadalajara W 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Guadalajara W to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Juárez W 1–1 Guadalajara W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juárez W41%fair 2.42 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Guadalajara W35%fair 2.87 · @3.05
2.53Expected goals
1.33Juárez W xG
1.20Guadalajara W xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Juárez W 1.3 – 1.2 Guadalajara W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juárez W to win✗
41%
2.42
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juárez W / FT Juárez W✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.42
–
Form
Juárez W – last 6
DWLWWL
6 Apr
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Necaxa W
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Puebla W
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Pachuca W
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadalajara W – last 6
DWDDDW
6 Apr
@ Tigres UANL W
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
1–0
W
30 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Monterrey W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs América W
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juárez W and Guadalajara W.
What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
On our numbers Juárez W have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
Our predicted score is Juárez W 1–1 Guadalajara W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
Juárez W vs Guadalajara W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
