Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Cruz Azul W to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul W to win ✗60% · @1.84
Double chanceCruz Azul W or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W preview and prediction
The match
Tijuana W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio Caliente. Tijuana W are 14th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Cruz Azul W sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Tijuana W and 2.2 for Cruz Azul W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tijuana W 17%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul W 60%.
Safer route: Cruz Azul W or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Cruz Azul W to win at 1.84 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruz Azul W or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tijuana W 1–2 Cruz Azul W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tijuana W17%fair 6.00 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.75
Cruz Azul W60%fair 1.68 · @1.84
3.27Expected goals
1.11Tijuana W xG
2.16Cruz Azul W xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 1.1 – 2.2 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul W to win✗
60%
1.68
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Cruz Azul W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Half-time result
Cruz Azul W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul W / FT Cruz Azul W✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Tijuana W
No recent results on record.
Cruz Azul W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Cruz Azul W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruz Azul W 60%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 1–2 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W?
Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
