Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Union Santa Fe host Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio 15 de Abril. Union Santa Fe are 16th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Estudiantes L.P. sit 11th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Union Santa Fe's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Flamengo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Union Santa Fe and 1.3 for Estudiantes L.P.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 24%, Estudiantes L.P. 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Santa Fe35%fair 2.85 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Estudiantes L.P.41%fair 2.46 · @2.90
2.41Expected goals
1.15Union Santa Fe xG
1.26Estudiantes L.P. xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.1 – 1.3 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
41%
2.46
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Union Santa Fe – last 6
DLLLLW
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Independiente
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Instituto Cordoba
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
DLDDWL
23 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs San Lorenzo
1–2
L
16 Oct
vs Flamengo
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–2
D
5 Oct
vs Gimnasia M.
3–0
W
2 Oct
@ Platense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes L.P. 41%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barracas Central2
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1