Value bet: Independ. Rivadavia to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentinos JRS to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.37
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
Argentinos JRS host Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Diego Armando Maradona. Argentinos JRS are 2nd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Independ. Rivadavia sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Argentinos JRS's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Banfield 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Tigre 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Argentinos JRS and 1.1 for Independ. Rivadavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentinos JRS 44%, draw 23%, Independ. Rivadavia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Independ. Rivadavia to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Argentinos JRS 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentinos JRS44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Independ. Rivadavia33%fair 3.06 · @3.80
2.40Expected goals
1.32Argentinos JRS xG
1.08Independ. Rivadavia xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Argentinos JRS 1.3 – 1.1 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentinos JRS to win✓
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentinos JRS / FT Argentinos JRS✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.37
–
Form
Argentinos JRS – last 6
WDWLDD
17 Oct
@ Banfield
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Platense
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Tigre
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Rosario Central
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Barracas Central
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DLDWDW
17 Oct
vs Tigre
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Rosario Central
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–1
D
21 Sep
@ Barracas Central
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Atletico Tucuman
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Aldosivi
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Argentinos JRS have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independ. Rivadavia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Argentinos JRS 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Diego Armando Maradona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Instituto Cordoba1
Deportivo Riestra0