Value bet: Union Santa Fe to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Riestra host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 20 October, with kick-off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Laza. Deportivo Riestra are 28th with 23 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to San Lorenzo 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Union Santa Fe's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Defensa Y Justicia 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Riestra and 1.0 for Union Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Riestra 41%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Union Santa Fe to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Riestra41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Union Santa Fe33%fair 2.99 · @3.60
2.16Expected goals
1.15Deportivo Riestra xG
1.01Union Santa Fe xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 1.2 – 1.0 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Riestra / FT Deportivo Riestra✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
LDDLDD
11 Oct
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
5 Oct
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Lanus
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Banfield
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Platense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
LLLLWW
10 Oct
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Independiente
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Instituto Cordoba
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Sarmiento Junin
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
