Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Atletico Tucuman take on Rosario Central on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. Atletico Tucuman are 11th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Rosario Central sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rosario Central's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Independ. Rivadavia 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Rosario Central 2–1 Atletico Tucuman.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Atletico Tucuman and 1.3 for Rosario Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Tucuman 28%, draw 24%, Rosario Central 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Rosario Central to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Tucuman28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Rosario Central48%fair 2.06 · @2.30
2.12Expected goals
0.86Atletico Tucuman xG
1.26Rosario Central xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 0.9 – 1.3 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosario Central 48%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Velez Sarsfield1
Gimnasia M.0
Independiente1
Estudiantes L.P.1
San Lorenzo2