Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.78
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees San Lorenzo take on Deportivo Riestra on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. San Lorenzo are 18th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Riestra sit 28th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Lorenzo's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Defensa Y Justicia 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Riestra. Across their last 2 meetings San Lorenzo have won 0, Deportivo Riestra 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for San Lorenzo and 0.7 for Deportivo Riestra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 80% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Lorenzo 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 34%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: San Lorenzo 0–0 Deportivo Riestra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Lorenzo39%fair 2.59 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.62
Deportivo Riestra34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
1.55Expected goals
0.82San Lorenzo xG
0.73Deportivo Riestra xG
47%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 0.8 – 0.7 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Riestra 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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