Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
River Plate to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Junin host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Eva Peron. Sarmiento Junin are 19th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while River Plate sit 7th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Aldosivi 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
River Plate's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished River Plate 2–0 Sarmiento Junin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.7 for River Plate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento Junin 18%, draw 21%, River Plate 62%.
Safer route: River Plate or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was River Plate to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin18%fair 5.70 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.25
River Plate62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
2.47Expected goals
0.75Sarmiento Junin xG
1.72River Plate xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.8 – 1.7 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Our pick is River Plate to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and River Plate 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Peron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
