Union Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente preview and prediction
The match
Independiente travel to Estadio 15 de Abril in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 19 September (20:45 WAT) to face Union Santa Fe. Union Santa Fe are 9th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Santa Fe's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Talleres Cordoba 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Independiente's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Union Santa Fe 0–2 Independiente. Across their last 2 meetings Union Santa Fe have won 0, Independiente 1, with 1 draw and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Union Santa Fe and 1.3 for Independiente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Santa Fe 40%, draw 26%, Independiente 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Santa Fe40%fair 2.53 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Independiente35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.39Union Santa Fe xG
1.29Independiente xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.4 – 1.3 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Independiente 35%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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