Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Atletico Tucuman take on River Plate on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. Atletico Tucuman are 26th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while River Plate sit 7th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Racing Club 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
River Plate's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Independ. Rivadavia 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Atletico Tucuman and 1.2 for River Plate. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Tucuman 30%, draw 23%, River Plate 46%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Atletico Tucuman to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 0–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Tucuman30%fair 3.28 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
River Plate46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
2.12Expected goals
0.91Atletico Tucuman xG
1.21River Plate xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 0.9 – 1.2 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
WDDWWL
7 Sep
@ Racing Club
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Instituto Cordoba
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
12 Aug
vs Independiente
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
WWDDDW
6 Sep
vs Independ. Rivadavia
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Banfield
3–2
W
27 Aug
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Velez Sarsfield
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Argentinos JRS
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and River Plate.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and River Plate 46%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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