Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLanus to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.10
Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia preview and prediction
The match
Defensa Y Justicia travel to face Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 6 September (21:00 WAT). Lanus are 9th with 50 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Defensa Y Justicia sit 14th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lanus's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Defensa Y Justicia's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Platense 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Defensa Y Justicia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Lanus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lanus and 0.7 for Defensa Y Justicia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lanus 59%, draw 25%, Defensa Y Justicia 16%.
Safer route: Lanus or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lanus to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lanus 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lanus59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Defensa Y Justicia16%fair 6.07 · @4.80
2.26Expected goals
1.57Lanus xG
0.69Defensa Y Justicia xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lanus 1.6 – 0.7 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Lanus to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers Lanus have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Defensa Y Justicia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is Lanus 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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