Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Junin host Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estadio Eva Perón. Sarmiento Junin are 9th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Estudiantes L.P. sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Huracan 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat U. Catolica 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.1 for Estudiantes L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Sarmiento Junin to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Estudiantes L.P.40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
2.09Expected goals
0.98Sarmiento Junin xG
1.11Estudiantes L.P. xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.0 – 1.1 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estudiantes L.P. 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huracan0
Banfield1
Barracas Central1
Belgrano Cordoba1
River Plate2