Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✓44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Riestra travel to Estadio Norberto Tomaghello in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 29 July (21:00 WAT) to face Defensa Y Justicia. Defensa Y Justicia are 14th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Riestra sit 28th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Defensa Y Justicia's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Aldosivi 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Deportivo Riestra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Defensa Y Justicia and 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa Y Justicia 44%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 32%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra to win at 3.80 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa Y Justicia44%fair 2.29 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
Deportivo Riestra32%fair 3.10 · @3.80
1.91Expected goals
1.06Defensa Y Justicia xG
0.85Deportivo Riestra xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensa Y Justicia to win✓
44%
2.29
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Jul
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
16 Jul
@ Racing Club
1–4
L
4 May
@ Gimnasia M.
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Boca Juniors
0–4
L
18 Apr
@ Independiente
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
WDDLLW
26 Jul
vs Boca Juniors
3–0
W
17 Jul
@ San Lorenzo
1–1
D
26 May
@ Palestino
1–1
D
19 May
@ Atletico Torque
1–4
L
5 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
29 Apr
vs Atletico Torque
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 32%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentinos JRS3
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0
Rosario Central0
Racing Club0
Barracas Central1
Aldosivi0
Gimnasia L.P.1
River Plate0