Cork City host Finn Harps in the First Division on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Turners Cross. Cork City are 1st with 75 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Finn Harps sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cork City's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Athlone Town 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Finn Harps's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Kerry 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cork City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Finn Harps 0–3 Cork City. Across their last 3 meetings Cork City have won 2, Finn Harps 0, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Cork City and 0.7 for Finn Harps. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cork City 72%, draw 19%, Finn Harps 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Cork City 2–1 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cork City72%fair 1.39 · @1.12
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @8.00
Finn Harps9%fair 11.27 · @13.00
3.00Expected goals
2.29Cork City xG
0.71Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cork City 2.3 – 0.7 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cork City vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Cork City have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Finn Harps 9%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–1 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Cork City vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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