Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cork City to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCork City to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Longford Town vs Cork City preview and prediction
The match
Longford Town host Cork City in the First Division on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Bishopsgate. Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Cork City sit 1st on 75 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Longford Town's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Finn Harps 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cork City's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat UCD 5–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Cork City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Cork City 3–4 Longford Town. Across their last 2 meetings Longford Town have won 1, Cork City 1, with 0 draws and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Longford Town and 2.1 for Cork City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Longford Town 13%, draw 21%, Cork City 66%.
Safer route: Cork City or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Cork City to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cork City or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Longford Town 0–2 Cork City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Longford Town13%fair 7.67 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
Cork City66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
2.97Expected goals
0.85Longford Town xG
2.12Cork City xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Longford Town 0.8 – 2.1 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our pick is Cork City or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Longford Town vs Cork City?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cork City 66%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Cork City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 0–2 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Cork City?
Longford Town vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
