Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTreaty United to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceTreaty United or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Treaty United vs Finn Harps preview and prediction
The match
Treaty United host Finn Harps in the First Division on Friday 25 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Markets Field. Treaty United are 9th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Finn Harps sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Treaty United's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Bray Wanderers 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Finn Harps's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Longford Town 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Finn Harps 0–1 Treaty United. Across their last 2 meetings Treaty United have won 1, Finn Harps 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Treaty United and 0.8 for Finn Harps. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Treaty United 62%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 15%.
Safer route: Treaty United or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Treaty United or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Treaty United 1–0 Finn Harps. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treaty United62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Finn Harps15%fair 6.57 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.86Treaty United xG
0.81Finn Harps xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.9 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Treaty United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Finn Harps 15%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Treaty United vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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