Longford Town vs Treaty United prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Longford Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLongford Town to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceLongford Town or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Longford Town vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Longford Town take on Treaty United on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Bishopsgate. Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Longford Town's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Kerry 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Treaty United's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Wexford 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Longford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Treaty United 0–1 Longford Town. Across their last 3 meetings Longford Town have won 2, Treaty United 0, with 1 draw and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Longford Town and 0.7 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Longford Town 62%, draw 25%, Treaty United 13%.
Safer route: Longford Town or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Longford Town to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Longford Town or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Longford Town 1–0 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Longford Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Treaty United13%fair 7.62 · @3.40
2.57Expected goals
1.83Longford Town xG
0.74Treaty United xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.8 – 0.7 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Longford Town or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Longford Town vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Treaty United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–0 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Longford Town vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
