Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 1.74 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthlone Town to win ✓63% · @1.74
Double chanceAthlone Town or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.66
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town preview and prediction
The match
Athlone Town travel to Finn Park in the First Division on Friday 4 September (19:45 WAT) to face Finn Harps. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Athlone Town sit 7th on 48 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to UCD 4–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.8 conceded.
Athlone Town's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Bray Wanderers 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Athlone Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps. Across their last 3 meetings Finn Harps have won 0, Athlone Town 2, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Finn Harps and 1.9 for Athlone Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 12%, draw 24%, Athlone Town 63%.
Safer route: Athlone Town or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Athlone Town to win at 1.74 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Athlone Town or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Finn Harps 0–1 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps12%fair 8.00 · @4.35
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.75
Athlone Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.74
2.69Expected goals
0.77Finn Harps xG
1.93Athlone Town xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.8 – 1.9 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Athlone Town or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athlone Town 63%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
