UCD travel to Mounthawk Park in the First Division on Friday 21 August (19:45 WAT) to face Kerry.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Sligo Rovers 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
UCD's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Derry City 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 June 2026, finished UCD 0–1 Kerry. Across their last 3 meetings Kerry have won 1, UCD 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Kerry and 1.4 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 37%, draw 23%, UCD 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry37%fair 2.69 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
UCD40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
2.74Expected goals
1.34Kerry xG
1.40UCD xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.4 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kerry vs UCD?
On our numbers Kerry have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCD 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs UCD?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs UCD?
Kerry vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
