Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTreaty United to win ✗37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Treaty United vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
Longford Town travel to Markets Field in the First Division on Friday 31 July (19:45 WAT) to face Treaty United. Treaty United are 9th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Treaty United's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Athlone Town 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Longford Town's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Wexford 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Longford Town 3–1 Treaty United. Across their last 2 meetings Treaty United have won 0, Longford Town 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Treaty United and 1.3 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Treaty United 37%, draw 27%, Longford Town 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Longford Town to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treaty United37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.35
Longford Town36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.24Treaty United xG
1.33Longford Town xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.2 – 1.3 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Treaty United vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Longford Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Treaty United vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry4