Finn Harps vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
Finn Harps host Treaty United in the First Division on Friday 10 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Wexford 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Treaty United's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Kerry 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Finn Harps 2–2 Treaty United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Finn Harps and 1.3 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 34%, draw 27%, Treaty United 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.50
Treaty United39%fair 2.54 · @2.48
2.54Expected goals
1.20Finn Harps xG
1.34Treaty United xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.2 – 1.3 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Treaty United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Treaty United?
Finn Harps vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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