Value bet: UCD to win @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗56% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Longford Town vs UCD preview and prediction
The match
UCD travel to Bishopsgate in the First Division on Saturday 4 July (19:30 WAT) to face Longford Town. Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while UCD sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Longford Town's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Kerry 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
UCD's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Cobh Ramblers 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished UCD 2–0 Longford Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Longford Town and 1.6 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Longford Town 24%, draw 19%, UCD 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: UCD to win at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Longford Town 0–1 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Longford Town24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.55
UCD56%fair 1.78 · @1.93
2.59Expected goals
0.95Longford Town xG
1.64UCD xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.0 – 1.6 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UCD 56%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs UCD?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 0–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs UCD?
Longford Town vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
