The First Division sees Kerry take on Longford Town on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Mounthawk Park.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat UCD 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Longford Town's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Bray Wanderers 2–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Kerry 1–1 Longford Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Kerry and 1.1 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 44%, draw 22%, Longford Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry44%fair 2.26 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Longford Town34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
2.32Expected goals
1.27Kerry xG
1.06Longford Town xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.1 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kerry vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Longford Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Longford Town?
Kerry vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
