Value bet: UCD to win @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗62% · @1.71
Double chanceUCD or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
UCD vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees UCD take on Kerry on Friday 19 June, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at UCD Bowl.
Form guide
UCD's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Finn Harps 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kerry's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Athlone Town 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Kerry 1–1 UCD. Across their last 2 meetings UCD have won 1, Kerry 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for UCD and 0.8 for Kerry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCD 62%, draw 21%, Kerry 17%.
Safer route: UCD or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: UCD to win at 1.71 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: UCD 1–0 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCD62%fair 1.60 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
Kerry17%fair 5.96 · @4.75
2.53Expected goals
1.77UCD xG
0.76Kerry xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: UCD 1.8 – 0.8 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UCD vs Kerry?
On our numbers UCD have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kerry 17%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–0 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Kerry?
UCD vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
