Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLongford Town to win ✓45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Longford Town vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Longford Town take on Treaty United on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bishopsgate. Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Longford Town's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Finn Harps 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Treaty United's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Cork City 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Treaty United 0–0 Longford Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Longford Town and 1.0 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Longford Town 45%, draw 22%, Treaty United 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Treaty United to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Longford Town 1–1 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Longford Town45%fair 2.25 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Treaty United33%fair 3.01 · @3.45
2.26Expected goals
1.24Longford Town xG
1.02Treaty United xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.2 – 1.0 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Longford Town vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Treaty United 33%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Longford Town vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry0