Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFinn Harps to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town preview and prediction
The match
Athlone Town travel to Finn Park in the First Division on Friday 24 April (19:45 WAT) to face Finn Harps. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Athlone Town sit 7th on 48 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to UCD 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Athlone Town's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Bray Wanderers 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Athlone Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Athlone Town 2–1 Finn Harps.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Finn Harps and 1.2 for Athlone Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 43%, draw 22%, Athlone Town 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Athlone Town to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Finn Harps 1–1 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps43%fair 2.31 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Athlone Town35%fair 2.87 · @3.15
2.49Expected goals
1.33Finn Harps xG
1.16Athlone Town xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.3 – 1.2 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athlone Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
